Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 305.004602 346.624250 393.406138 450.189772 517.654692 595.751687 693.728727
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 237.019920 288.849537 352.565244 437.791979 550.561366 697.214352 906.691637
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 208.914339 266.937227 342.805321 451.559280 607.368838 828.950176 1180.320252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 185.944377 246.269387 328.973129 454.161685 645.429840 938.513549 1447.358339
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 165.395054 225.324166 310.634228 445.591729 663.063332 1018.122303 1685.678915
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 151.628914 211.885720 300.641548 446.885819 694.658503 1124.687247 1999.805143
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 137.637214 196.336515 285.243073 436.764011 704.559706 1194.468277 2263.943204
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 127.470984 185.396462 275.481028 434.067141 726.147265 1289.216571 2609.864740
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 115.095266 169.800313 256.554637 413.021817 710.339820 1307.114242 2788.453646
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 111.542417 167.827266 259.539204 430.666147 770.618648 1494.087377 3448.123858
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 109.404446 167.876396 265.784579 454.912275 848.336285 1739.171980 4378.617085
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 103.664224 161.371634 259.957853 455.372415 876.281736 1876.072785 5064.998711
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 96.114516 151.354122 247.262035 441.396999 871.702902 1935.537825 5550.352175
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 89.556129 142.594445 236.124792 429.340866 869.815893 2003.041110 6110.298810
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 87.005832 140.656688 237.323994 442.772996 930.101835 2257.783559 7552.851489
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 83.308509 136.358509 233.641269 445.311960 964.387574 2449.532785 8895.520787
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 78.669849 130.006123 225.442683 436.950654 969.473251 2554.327617 9932.554242
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 75.500976 126.138620 221.759659 438.213301 1000.158155 2752.351861 11636.410440
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 71.412281 120.277495 213.631694 428.336807 998.836588 2842.587386 12843.928183
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 68.377234 116.220094 208.830421 425.705059 1017.528164 3011.622169 14738.788249
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 63.826240 108.998500 197.038579 405.164387 981.133184 2965.381301 15160.156902
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 63.136820 109.196788 200.633283 422.386045 1060.077743 3396.829484 19692.679916
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 62.983820 110.424253 206.487886 446.044227 1164.805451 3989.410468 26892.397703